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Industry study 11 of 24 · AI Research Companion

Business Models and Pricing for AI

~8,000 words · 2 technical exhibits

AI companies earn money in six main ways: they sell tokens through an API, subscriptions to consumers, seats to businesses, usage in the form of credits, actions or conversations, outcomes such as a resolved support ticket, and, increasingly, attention and commerce through ads and transaction fees inside assistants. The choice matters more than in ordinary software for two reasons. First, AI has a real marginal cost: every answer consumes compute (10), so a price that does not move with usage hands the vendor an open-ended bill. Second, AI increasingly does work that people used to do, so the natural reference price is not a software budget but a labour budget, and per-seat pricing, the standard of software-as-a-service for twenty years, shrinks when the software replaces the people who held the seats. This section maps the revenue models across the stack (chips and clouds aside), explains how each one handles variable cost and captures value, sets out the gross-margin structure from lab to application, examines the "wrapper" debate and the platform risk of building on someone else's model, and reviews the 2024–26 pricing experiments at OpenAI, Anthropic, Microsoft, Salesforce, Intercom, Cursor and others. A worked example prices one product four ways (token pass-through, seats, usage and outcomes) and stresses each against usage spikes, cheaper models, a reasoning upgrade and seat cuts; a checklist sets out questions to ask of any AI pricing model.

What the study covers

  1. 1Overview: why AI pricing is unusual
  2. 2The six revenue models
  3. 3Price points across the market
  4. 4The token stack: who earns what
  5. 5Usage pricing: credits, actions and conversations
  6. 6Outcome pricing
  7. 7Seats and the cannibalisation problem
  8. 8Gross margins and what drives them
  9. 9The "wrapper" debate
  10. 10Platform risk
  11. 11Ads, commerce and new revenue lines
  12. 12Setting the price: principles
  13. 13Key numbers
  14. 14Landmark companies and cases
  15. 15Pitfalls
  16. 16How an expert thinks about it
  17. 17Glossary

Technical exhibits

Worked examples, checklists and case studies included with this study.

AI Pricing Models Comparison Worked Example

A stylized AI customer-support agent sold to three customers under token pass-through, per-seat, per-conversation and per-resolution pricing: revenue, gross margin, customer savings and value share, with five stress scenarios (computed in Python)

AI Pricing and Margin Checklist

Questions to ask of any AI company's pricing, revenue mix, margins and platform dependence